Another day and yet another news of terrorism. An Iraqi-born Swedish citizen, Taimour Abdulwahab Al-Abdaly, 28, blew up his car, then himself, in Stockholm, Sweden. I think I’m starting to get used to hearing “a nice-and-quiet muslim man got radicalised and blown himself up”. This may seem as another terrorism news for you, but quelling the rise of militant islam is a wicked problem – which every KMer should be interested in.
The fact that there are: (1) ”Al-Qaeda-inspired” terrorist organisations such as Jemaah Islamiah (JI), AQAP (Al-Qaeda in Arabian Peninsula) and (2) “self-radicalised” terrorists like Taimour – the Stockholm suicide bomber – means the rise of militant islam is a systemic problem, i.e. wicked problem, rather than contained problem.
Unfortunately, wicked problems have no clear solution. The then US president, George W. Bush, attempted to quell terrorism by “disrupting” the terrorists operations in Afghanistan. Almost 10 years passed since then, and yet terrorism remains a global threat and it is as vibrant as ever. Now, the global citizens have to contend with the growing threats of “home-grown” terrorism.
So what went wrong? sure, all of us could point finger at Bush and said “this is his fault!” But surely KMers could do better than just looking for someone to blame. For the record: I’m not a Bush fan. But, I think Bush made an “honest mistake” that all leader made at some point of their career. Many of us could share an anecdote of leaders who look for a “quick-fix”, only to discover the unintended consequences later on. If there is anything to learn from Bush’s failed war on terrorism, it would be this: Stop looking for quick fixes to solve wicked problems!
The issue of terrorism is basically a war of ideology. Having “zero tolerance” towards all non-muslims (radical islam) at one end, and living side-by-side with the non-muslims (moderate islam) at the other end. Promoting moderate Islam, is akin to promoting KM in the organisations because the change-required involves getting people to adopt a certain behaviors. So, here is how KMers would advise politicians / relevant authorities on quelling the rise of terrorism:
1. Identify champions - role models that exhibits behavior that we want to promote, for e.g. religious tolerance, knowledge sharing (in KM, we refer to them as knowledge champions). One of the criteria of champions is having wide influence. And that means, champions have to be well-respected figures in the target group. There are several ways to identify them:
- check out if they have twitter account (I know this may sound silly, but nowadays everyone embraces new media. Perhaps, there are IT-savvy and influential moderate muslims out there? I’m not a terrorism expert, I’m a KM expert. So I have to start with what I know). And then use Twitalyzer to analyse their influence. The influencer type of champions are usually Trendsetters or Thought Leaders in the Twitalyzer.
- use Social Network Analysis (SNA). To conduct an SNA, you would need to distribute a survey which contains questions like who do you seek advice to? from whom do you get information required to do your work? the champions profile in SNA is usually the unsung heroes (high in-degree / out-degree centrality), boundary spanners (high betweenness centrality), and information brokers (high closeness centrality). You can get a visual look of the social network by using free software like NodeXL, SocNetV, NetDraw or Pajek.
- ask around and observe if the person is well respected in his / her community. Usually champions are the people who speak during community event or whose name being mentioned many times by the community members.
2. Change the incentives. Why would suicide bombers commit the act despite having a loving family? because they are promised rewards (in the afterlife). This may not make much sense, but hey, that’s beside the point. The point is, devising incentives / rewards is the most powerful means to change people’s behaviours. So, an effective counter-terrorism would offer incentives / rewards that people crave, for e.g. good reputation in the religious community, stable job.
3. Cultivate communities. There is no better way to build positive relationships and trusts other than getting involved in the communities of interests, or communities of practice (CoPs). Communities connect one champion to the others, and attract followers / lurkers. Champions spread their influence via communities – either online (for e.g. via blogs, twitter) or face-to-face (for e.g. in the professional associations, societies). Relevant authorities – either the senior management or the politicians – could put their “stamp of approval” on the communities by praising the champions (the community leaders) publicly, and giving the necessary resources such as funds, buildings, tax-free status, etc.
References:
http://af.reuters.com/article/nigeriaNews/idAFMAC64146720101216
http://www.bernama.com.my/bernama/v5/newsindex.php?id=551264